Top.Mail.Ru
empty
 
 
17.12.2025 01:18 PM
EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The EUR/USD pair is stabilizing near the round 1.1700 level and appears to have halted the sharp decline seen the previous day. At the same time, the fundamental backdrop remains favorable for the bulls, suggesting that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the upside.

This image is no longer relevant
The U.S. dollar gained momentum after the release of November Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which showed the smallest job creation figure since early October. This occurred against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's accommodative monetary policy, which is providing support to the EUR/USD pair. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the economy added just 64,000 jobs in November, compared with analysts' expectations of 50,000, while October recorded a decline of 105,000 jobs. The unemployment rate also rose to 4.6% from 4.4% in the previous month.

Despite these mixed figures, markets continue to expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at least two more times next year. Expectations of a dovish stance are also being reinforced by reports of a possible change in leadership at the Federal Reserve. A Wall Street Journal article notes that U.S. President Donald Trump plans to meet with candidates for the Fed chair position, including current Governor Christopher Waller, as well as other contenders such as National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh.

On the other hand, the euro continues to receive support amid growing confidence that the European Central Bank has completed its rate-cutting cycle. However, traders are reluctant to rush into new positions ahead of the ECB's key meeting on Thursday, as its final decisions could significantly affect demand for the euro and give fresh momentum to the EUR/USD pair. On Wednesday, final eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) data are also expected, which will play an important role in shaping market sentiment. These will be followed by the latest U.S. consumer inflation data, which will be a key driver of dollar demand and one of the main factors capable of triggering the next move in the EUR/USD pair.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $6000 more!
    In December we raffle $6000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback