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16.05.2025 06:37 PM
XAU/USD。分析與預測
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在歐洲時段的前半段,金價再次面臨日內壓力,在周五跌破3200美元的關鍵心理價位。圍繞中美貿易休戰的樂觀情緒繼續削弱對傳統避險資產的需求,阻礙了該金屬獲益於前一天強勁反彈的機會。

週四,美國公佈的宏觀經濟數據不如預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,導致美國國債收益率下降。儘管如此,這種情況使得美元連續第二天承壓,但對金價的支持有限,金價仍在下跌。目前地緣政治風險和其他外部因素不足以抵消市場對金價的看空情緒。

從技術角度來看,金價仍保持在日線圖50期簡單移動平均線(SMA)之上。然而, 相對強弱指數(RSI)尚未進入正區域。因此,在確認上週價格下跌完全消耗之前,最好等待買盤的強勁延續。

同時,弱勢位於3200美元以下可能在3178–3177美元區域找到支撐。若跌破這一區域,金價可能進一步下行至昨日接近3120美元的低位。看跌動能的延續可能將金價推向3100美元水平,甚至可能跌至下一主要支撐位3060美元。

另一方面,3252–3255美元水平則充當即時阻力。若該區域被持續突破,可能引發新的空頭回補浪潮,使金價重新測試3300美元水平。若該關鍵點位被突破,市場偏向將轉向多頭。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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