The euro is trading around 1.1687, reaching the 200-day EMA and consolidating above this level after testing strong support. The euro could continue its fall in the coming hours, but we should watch for a drop below 1.1679, at which point we could sell.

If the euro rebounds above the 200 EMA in the coming hours, we could look to buy at the 4/8 Murray level around 1.1718 or near the top of the downtrend channel around 1.1730.

If the euro remains under downward pressure and consolidates below 1.1679, we could expect a strong technical correction, potentially reaching the 3/8 Murray level around 1.1506. EUR/USD could even continue its downward cycle until reaching the psychological level of 1.15.

Given that the indicator is reaching oversold levels, the euro will likely continue its rise from current price levels. Therefore, if EUR/USD consolidates above the 200 EMA, this could be considered a positive signal to buy.

A consolidation and a breakout above the downtrend channel and above 1.1820 could mark the start of the euro's recovery. As a result, EUR/USD could reach the 5/8 Murray level again around 1.1840.