Top.Mail.Ru
empty
 
 
18.02.2026 12:37 PM
GBP/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The GBP/USD pair is struggling to build on yesterday's rebound from a new February low, which formed slightly below the psychological 1.3500 level. However, pressure from negative factors is being partially offset, as market participants appear to be avoiding aggressive directional positions ahead of the release of the FOMC meeting minutes.

At the same time, despite more encouraging UK economic data today, the disappointing employment figures released on Tuesday strengthened expectations of a Bank of England rate cut in March, weighing on the British pound.

Moderate strengthening of the U.S. dollar is also limiting GBP/USD's upside. Nevertheless, the dovish outlook for the Federal Reserve could restrain further dollar gains and help reduce losses for the currency pair.

This image is no longer relevant
From a technical perspective, yesterday's break below the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the 4-hour timeframe was seen as a key signal for GBP/USD bears. However, prices are now attempting to move back above and consolidate over the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. The MACD indicator shows the histogram in negative territory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also in negative territory, recovering from the oversold zone.

The 200-period SMA is showing moderate upward movement, and GBP/USD is slightly trading above it but facing resistance at the 9-period EMA. A break above this barrier would strengthen bullish momentum. Otherwise, if the pair falls back below the 200-period SMA, it could activate sellers and lead to further declines. It is also worth noting that on the daily chart, the RSI has moved into negative territory, indicating weakness among the bulls.

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $1000 más!
    ¡En Febrero, sorteamos $1000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback