Forex Analysis & Reviews: 20.05.2025 - EUR/USD Overview

Live Chat

InstaForex Loprais Team: Participante Oficial del Rally Dakar

Esta sección presenta la información más importante sobre las operaciones con InstaForex. Proporcionamos análisis de reconocidos expertos para traders experimentados y artículos sobre las condiciones de negociación para principiantes. Nuestro servicio le ayudará a aumentar su potencial de ganancias.

Become Trader

Abrir cuenta

Ver también

Condiciones de negociación

Análisis de forex

Gráficos

Esta sección está diseñada para aquellos que recién comienzan a operar en Forex. Los materiales educativos y analíticos de InstaForex satisfarán sus necesidades de capacitación. Las recomendaciones de nuestros expertos harán que sus primeros pasos hacia el éxito financiero sean simples y claros.

Start as Beginner

Cómo comenzar a operar

Información Útil

Training and recordings

Los servicios innovadores de InstaForex son un elemento esencial para una inversión productiva. Nos esforzamos por brindar a nuestros clientes capacidades técnicas avanzadas y hacer que su rutina comercial sea cómoda, ya que somos reconocidos como el mejor bróker en este sentido.

Become Investor

Sistema PAMM

Sistema ForexCopy

Inversiones pasivas

Cuenta OYS

La asociación con InstaForex es beneficiosa y de primer nivel. Únase a nuestros programas de afiliación y disfrute de bonos, recompensas de socios y la posibilidad de viajar con el equipo de la marca reconocida a nivel mundial.

Become Partner

Página principal

Área Personal del Socio

Ventajas de los Afiliados

Registro

Esta sección contiene las mejores ofertas de InstaForex. Reciba bonos al recargar su cuenta, compita con otros traders, y reciba premios reales incluso cuando opere en una cuenta demo.

All Promo Campaigns

Bonuses

Concursos

Eventos

Los días festivos con InstaForex no solo son agradables, sino también útiles. Ofrecemos un portal único, numerosos foros y blogs corporativos, donde los traders pueden intercambiar experiencias e integrarse con éxito en la comunidad Forex.

Full details

Foros

Estamos en las redes sociales

Humor Forex

Portal de Forex

InstaForex es una marca internacional creada en 2007. La compañía brinda servicios para las operaciones de divisas en línea y es reconocida como uno de los brókers líderes en el mundo. Nos hemos ganado la confianza de más de 7,000,000 traders minoristas, quienes ya han apreciado nuestra confiabilidad y enfoque en la innovación.

Learn More

Historia

Por qué elegirnos

InstaSport

Reglamento

Noticias de la compañía

Premios

Estrellas de InstaForex

InstaForex Offline

Headquarters

Documentos clave

Responsabilidad social

InstaForex Loprais Team: participante oficial del Rally Dakar

20.05.2025 07:31 AM

EUR/USD Overview – May 20: Fearless Moody's and a New Blow to the Dollar

The EUR/USD currency pair found a reason to resume its decline on Monday. As mentioned before, the U.S. dollar's position looks very shaky. It had risen for over a month, but this growth was much weaker than the preceding fall. And although the dollar was technically climbing, who can confidently say this trend will continue? After all, the "Trump factor" hasn't disappeared. Yes, trade tensions have eased over the past month, which probably explains the dollar's strengthening.

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank has continued easing monetary policy, and the Federal Reserve is patiently waiting for inflation to accelerate, refusing to give in to either Trump or the markets. In truth, there were several reasons for the dollar's rise in recent weeks. The fact that it only strengthened marginally highlights the market's skepticism towards the U.S. dollar.

On Monday, the most notable news was Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. Moody's, one of the three globally recognized rating agencies, was the last to cut the rating. America's credit rating is now AA1—still very high, just one notch below the top-tier AAA.

The issue isn't the new rating but the timing: It happened during Donald Trump's second term. While Trump continues to tout a "great future" in every interview, that future may not arrive until after he leaves office. That doesn't bother him—he blames Biden for the current crisis and economic slump and will, of course, credit himself for any future boom.

Moody's explained its decision by citing the sharp rise in national debt over the past 10 years and increasing debt servicing costs. Interest on government loans doesn't rise arbitrarily—it increases when lenders are hesitant. Consequently, the U.S. government is forced to raise rates, putting more pressure on the federal budget. Ironically, Trump, who aimed to fight the budget deficit and public debt, has worsened both. Moody's emphasized that few other sovereign nations have interest rates on debt as high as the U.S., which factored into the downgrade.

A credit rating isn't just a formal label—it reflects a nation's financial health and stability.

The average volatility of the EUR/USD pair over the last five trading days as of May 20 is 95 pips, which is considered high. We expect the pair to move between 1.1143 and 1.1333 on Tuesday. The long-term regression channel is still upward, indicating a short-term bullish trend. The CCI indicator entered the oversold zone, which, within a bullish trend, signals trend resumption. Shortly afterward, a bullish divergence formed, triggering a new wave of upward movement.

Nearest Support Levels:

S1: 1.1230

S2: 1.1108

S3: 1.0986

Nearest Resistance Levels:

R1: 1.1353

R2: 1.1475

R3: 1.1597

Trading Recommendations:

The EUR/USD pair is attempting to resume its uptrend. Over the past few months, we have consistently stated that we expect a medium-term decline in the euro, and that view remains unchanged. Aside from Donald Trump, the U.S. dollar still has no reason to fall. However, since Trump has recently leaned toward trade de-escalation, the trade war factor currently supports the dollar, which may eventually return to its base level around 1.03.

Given the current context, long positions are not considered relevant. Short positions remain preferable if the price is below the moving average, with targets at 1.1108 and 1.0986.

Explanation of Illustrations:

Linear Regression Channels help determine the current trend. If both channels are aligned, it indicates a strong trend.

Moving Average Line (settings: 20,0, smoothed) defines the short-term trend and guides the trading direction.

Murray Levels act as target levels for movements and corrections.

Volatility Levels (red lines) represent the likely price range for the pair over the next 24 hours based on current volatility readings.

CCI Indicator: If it enters the oversold region (below -250) or overbought region (above +250), it signals an impending trend reversal in the opposite direction.

You have already liked this post today

*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.