Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the Japanese Yen:

The price test at 156.48 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose to the target level of 156.86.

The immediate increase in demand for the US currency followed a series of strikes carried out by the US on Iranian military facilities. This was a response to attacks on American destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz that accompanied an oil tanker. All of this exerted significant pressure on the yen, partially negating the Bank of Japan's recent currency interventions.

Weak data on Japan's services sector business activity index, which fell short of economists' forecasts, added further pressure on the yen, raising concerns about the pace of the economic recovery. This indicator, reflecting the sentiment and expectations of companies in one of Japan's key industries, declined, taking investors by surprise. The fall in the services sector index may signal potential issues with consumer demand due to high inflation. The decrease in the index may also reflect increased operational costs for companies related to rising prices for raw materials and energy, as well as possible difficulties in labor recruitment.

Regarding the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2.

Buy Scenarios

Scenario #1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today upon reaching the entry point around 156.95 (green line on the chart), targeting a move to 157.35 (thicker green line on the chart). At around 157.35, I intend to exit my long positions and immediately sell in the opposite direction (expecting a move of 30-35 pips from that level). It is best to resume buying the pair during corrections and significant pullbacks in USD/JPY. Important! Before buying, ensure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and is just beginning to rise from there.

Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today in the case of two consecutive tests of the price at 156.72 when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward market reversal. An increase to opposing levels of 156.95 and 157.35 can be expected.

Sell Scenarios

Scenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today only after the 156.72 level is updated (red line on the chart), which will trigger a rapid decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be the 156.35 level, where I intend to exit my short positions and immediately buy in the opposite direction (expecting a 20-25-pip move from the level). Sellers could return at any moment, needing just a hint from the central bank. Important! Before selling, ensure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and is just beginning to decline from there.

Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY today in the case of two consecutive tests of the price at 156.95 when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a market reversal downward. A decrease to opposing levels of 156.72 and 156.35 can be expected.

What is on the Chart:

• The thin green line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be bought;
• The thick green line – approximate price where take profit can be set or to realize profit, as further growth above this level is unlikely;
• The thin red line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be sold;
• The thick red line – approximate price where take profit can be set or to realize profit, as further decline below this level is unlikely;
• MACD indicator. When entering the market, it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Beginner traders in the Forex market need to make entry decisions very cautiously. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade in large volumes.

And remember, for successful trading, it is essential to have a clear trading plan, as outlined above. Making impulsive trading decisions based on the current market situation is fundamentally a losing strategy for an intraday trader.